Pink's NFL Picks 1-4-08


Last week’s record: 9-7; for the season, 151-89

Pick of the Week, 1-0; for the season, 14-3

We didn’t go to press last week, but if you’re interested, I went 9-7 to finish up the year. My Lock of the Week, Arizona, also came in, so that was good. All in all it wasn’t a bad year, but the regular season is over and the playoff teams have been decided, so let the show begin.

The quest for the Super Bowl begins this weekend with the wild card games. These games match the division champions with the poorest record against non-division winning teams (wild card teams) with the best records. This year, there are teams in both the NFC and AFC that have a legitimate chance to advance to the league championship game and quite possibly on to the Super Bowl. I’m not saying it will happen, but it very well could.

In addition to my picks for the first two rounds, I will continue to give you my Lock of the Week. I know this is risky with only four games on the board, but I’ve got confidence in my picks and this week I’ve got a beauty for you. Saturday, Jan. 5

Washington at Seattle — The sentimental pick is the Redskins in this matchup, but there’s more to this game than sentiment. The Skins are playing well and have plenty of momentum coming into the game. True, Washington has rallied to win the final four games of the season to get into the playoffs following the death of their teammate Sean Taylor. The big story, however, has been the playoff back-up quarterback Todd Collins, the resurgence of runningback Clinton Portis and the production they are getting from a healthy wide receiver, Santana Moss. At the same time, the Skins, defense has kicked it up a notch by becoming a more aggressive unit in regard to pressuring opponents and taking more risks.

Seattle, on the other hand, remains somewhat of a mystery. Quarterback Matt Hasselbeck is the real deal and throws to a capable group of receivers, but the running game must produce more if the Seahawks hope to advance. The Seahawk defense is capable, but not dominating by any means.

In the end, I think it comes down to preparation. Both Joe Gibbs of the Skins and Mike Holmgren of Seattle excel in that department. Gibbs appears to have the hotter ball club and the momentum, so I’m going with the Redskins to advance to the second round with a solid 24-14 win.Jacksonville at Pittsburgh — Here you have two teams that could easily advance to the AFC Championship game. Jacksonville is for real and if anyone doubts that, just consider the fact that the only game the Steelers lost all year at home was to the Jags. Quarterback David Garrard has gotten the job done for the Jags, and pro football’s most underrated runningback, Fred Taylor, is running like a rookie again. Add to that a defense that will get after you all game long and you can see why everyone would prefer avoiding a matchup with the Jaguars.

The Steelers most certainly will come after you from start to finish, as well. The injury to runningback Willie Parker hurts their running game, but with a team like the Steelers it’s always more about the system than the individual when it comes to running the ball. Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger has been in a number of these games and is very capable of producing, especially when you consider he has a receiver like Hines Ward to throw to. The defense is super aggressive but will on occasion give up the big play by being so.

You should all know by now that I’m a Steelers fan, but in this game I like the emotion that Head Coach Jack Del Rio has brought to his team and I think that’s going to make a difference. I must admit I hope I’m wrong, but I see Jacksonville advancing to the next round following a 20-17 upset over the Steelers.Sunday, Jan. 6

New York Giants at Tampa Bay — Give the Giants credit: They made the playoffs. You can count me among those who didn’t think they would. Now the question is, can they advance?

Anything is possible, but the Giants do actually have a legitimate chance. There are plenty of question marks when you look at the team, the biggest one being how will quarterback Eli Manning perform, especially on the road against a good defense, in the playoffs? New York fans can only hope he stands tall against the Bucs and produces a good game. The running game is fine as long as Brendan Jacobs stays healthy, but the loss of tight end Jeremy Shockey is a concern, as is the health of wide receiver Plaxico Burress. The Giants are very aggressive on defense, but they, too, have a tendency to give up a big play on occasion. The defense will, however, keep plenty of pressure on the opposing quarterback.

Tampa Bay is a dull, boring team that is well coached and plays good to excellent defense. They must hope that quarterback Jeff Garcia is healthy if they have any hopes of advancing to the next round. Don’t, however, underestimate them. They have a habit of finding a way to beat you and they don’t make a habit of turning over the ball.

I don’t want to jinx the Giants, but I really like them a lot in this game and I’m going to go way out on a limb and make them my Pick of the Week. I see the Giants advancing to the next round following a convincing 21-13 win over the Bucs.Tennessee at San Diego — This is also a very interesting matchup. Tennessee looked all but out of it a couple of weeks ago, but head coach Jeff Fisher (one of the NFL’s best) got his troops back on course and just in time. Unfortunately, starting quarterback Vince Young is banged up and is a question mark for this game. If he isn’t ready for next week, the Titans must rely on veteran Kerry Collins to fill the void. Regardless, Fisher will have his team fired up and ready to play.

The Chargers, on the other hand, seem to be clicking on all cylinders and that wasn’t the case earlier in the season. First-year head coach Norv Turner immediately came under fire for tinkering with what was one of the most dynamic offensive attacks in the NFL last year. Once that got squared away, the Chargers began to roll and finished the season with a six-game winning streak. Runningback LaDainian Tomlinson eventually rounded into form and captured his second consecutive rushing title. The defense has steadily improved, as well.

The Fisher factor must be considered in this game, but in the end I see the Chargers advancing to the second round following a hard-fought 27-20 win over the Titans.

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